Ditch Trevor Bauer and kiss Sonny Grey
Reds starter Sonny Grey is statistically higher than Trevor Bauer.
There hasn’t been a extra intriguing free agent out there than Trevor Bauer in latest reminiscence. Is it due to what he did on the pitch? Lifting the Cincinnati Redsvery first Cy Younger? Yeah, that has loads to do with it.
Bauer is among the most controversial actors. If Bauer wears your staff uniform, you’re keen on him. If he is on the bump towards you, that is precisely the alternative emotion you’re feeling radiating in the direction of him.
Possibly it is his character. Bauer has his personal model, created totally on his personal. Seeing Bauer’s face is nearly inevitable, and effectively carried out to him. I can not bear in mind a participant who offered in addition to Bauer.
Not solely is Trevor Bauer advertising himself, he is good at it. I’ve had a “ship” shirt in my purchasing cart from her on-line retailer for months now. Bauer not solely sells you himself, he sells you his concepts that are additionally controversial.
Personally, I really like Bauer, I believe he is nice for baseball. I believe he is nice for Cincinnati. He provides the Reds a stage of publicity they have not gotten shortly. From his behind-the-scenes vlogging, to his interactions with followers, and his fixed problem to authority. Bauer continually challenges others along with his opinions.
Other than being a stallion on the hill, Trevor Bauer looks like a standard dude who most followers really feel they’ll relate to. That is one more reason why I believe followers are drawn to him. I may discuss Bauer all day, and I’d hate to see Bauer in one other uniform, however I believe Reds followers, myself included, have to regulate to the thought of him placing on one other uniform subsequent season. .
Sooner or later, should you’re the Cincinnati Reds, you could redirect all of the power from the entrance workplace to what you may have, as a substitute of what you may need. Primarily, the entrance workplace simply has to go forward and assume that Trevor Bauer is nearly gone… which he in all probability is.
What you may have are Luis Castillo and Sonny Grey beneath the management of the staff till 2023. They’re two excellent arms; weapons that I’d guess nearly each baseball staff would love so as to add to their rotation.
Bauer labored extraordinarily arduous, and that success paid off for him in 2020. Let’s take a step again and take it with a grain of salt. What Bauer did in 2020 was not regular, not solely was it not regular for him statistically, it was not a standard season in any respect.
Trevor Bauer goes to get a monster wage primarily based solely on 11 begins. Beneath regular circumstances, a pitcher will get his eleventh begin within the second month of the season. Based on powerrankingsguru.com, Bauer additionally benefited from going through the bottom power score in all of baseball.
The explanation why 2020 is solely a statistical anomaly may be supported by information. A fast look at Bauer’s stats line at FanGraphs will inform you every thing you could know. What Bauer did final season was not atypical of a Trevor Bauer season.
Bauer hits a number of guys; it’s a fixed. It additionally usually eats between 170 and 200 innings, which is fascinating in a starter. The one distinction issue is the important thing stat that each skilled or newbie analyst appears to be like at, and that’s the ERA.
Some youthful statisticians would say that PLAR shouldn’t be vital and that it’s a ineffective statistic. That is the place I disagree. A pitcher’s job is to not enable runs, so for me that is fairly vital.
Bauer is a profession man who usually hovers round a 4.00 ERA, which is not that nice, nevertheless it’s not a quantity you place $ 20-25 million on. The Reds should keep away from embarking on a attainable bidding battle with Los Angeles and the New York Mets.
If the value is true, which it certain will not, then I completely agree with the Reds bringing Bauer again. A company goes to present Bauer some huge cash, and possibly that is a mistake; the one the reds ought to keep away from.
Sonny Grey, in the meantime, is a man, like Bauer, who has additionally been across the neighborhood a couple of times. Grey will solely be price round $ 20 million, nonetheless, however not one for 2 seasons. Grey has a really comparable stat line to Bauer in line with FanGraphs.
Grey sports activities a barely decrease ERA of Bauer’s 3.54 to three.90. Sonny Grey additionally posted larger WAR at 18.8 versus Bauer’s 17.5. If two gamers had been to be statistically thought of nearly utterly equal 99 occasions out of 100, I take the participant who prices half as a lot.
The most important mistake the Cincinnati Reds may make could be to signal Trevor Bauer for an enormous one-year contract primarily based on the 2020 season. You may hold Grey round and divert the cash the Reds would have given Bauer to dying. ‘different positions in want. It is the motion that retains Cincinnati competing in 2021.